BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN 2 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 13-fight card in Philly on large ESPN. DraftKings has some strong contests and that I look forward to pursuing the big GPPs. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $30k goes to 1st place with a total of $500k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I won my very first chair into it a few weeks back and I will attempt to get my 2nd seat this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at the $30 prize, and then I will probably take a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I like this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Main Event Stack, Justin Gaethje AND Edson Barboza
When I stack a fight in money games I want no less than 100 total points. Ideally much more like 150 or even more, but I will take 100-point floor together with all the guaranteed win. With Gaethje fights, we’re pretty much locked into that 100+ and we’ve seen his struggles even total over 200 DK points. He is the perfect style for accruing DraftKings points and should we use Edson too, then we are guaranteed a win and probably 150+ factors. Give me that day. This is the way I’ll be starting my money lineup and then I will figure out the rest from there. I shall take the loss because we do not desire 6 wins in cash games. 1st place and 5th place get paid the same at a 10-man double-up, so I am not shooting for first and I’d rather play with it safer with my money lineups.
GPP drama of the week — Enrique Barzola — $8,200
This isn’t a sneaky play at all but Barzola ought to be a terrific play when he shoots takedowns. In his 5 UFC wins he has 36 takedowns. That’s precisely what we want on DraftKings. Every takedown is 5-points plus he is able to stand up enough to score 100+ points. If he could score over 100 DK points again here at $8.2k he’s for sure going to acquire a person $30k. I do expect him to be chalky this week, but he has too much scoring possible I’d like to fade the chalk. I will probably be in accord with the field on ownership with my lineups, if not overweight.
Underdog play of the week — Michelle Waterson — $7,600
I enjoy Waterson here since she is the fighter who will be searching for takedowns in this fight. I think she can find a few and she may have the ability to lock a entry if that is how it is. That’s her ceiling in this fight, but I like her more for cash games because of her floor. I really don’t see KK completing Waterson, so I think we get three full rounds of scoring out of her. Even in a reduction she could put up 30-40 DK points and in money games that is fine. I will be using her in GPPs also, but I don’t think she submits KK. I’d guess she puts up around ~80 DK points in a decision win when she’s able to get the victory.
Fade of this week — Sabina Mazo ($8,800)
I’m spreading my vulnerability out on the majority of the favorites this week in GPPs but Mazo is the one I’m interested at very least. I think the only way she outscores her 8.8k salary would be by getting a second head kick KO. I really don’t think that is quite likely at all and I think a decision win is likely for her. I really don’t see her heading for almost any takedowns or obtaining many/any knockdowns, therefore that I don’t see how she scores tremendously in a decision triumph. I have zero lineups with Mazo this week and if I had been making 100 lineups I would still likely full fade her. Hopefully it doesn’t burn me, however, she is my fade of the week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I’m 63-41for +210.99 (+$21,099) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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